Essays & Simulations

Long-form thinking on technology, economics, and structural change

AI Economic Simulation, 10-Year Outlook vs. The Great Depression

A decade-long simulation of an economy where AI destroys white-collar job value and absorbs the majority of investment capital—compared directly to the Great Depression.

January 2026 Read →

LLM Coding Agents: A Phase Shift in Software Engineering

How agentic LLM workflows crossed a coherence threshold in late 2025—reshaping how engineers build software, where the real leverage comes from, and why human verification is now the core bottleneck.

January 2026 Read →